DISASTER MEDICINE No.1 •2023

https://doi.org/10.33266/2070-1004-2023-1

Original article

Medical-Sanitary Consequences of Emergency Situations in the World, 2012–2021

Evdokimov V.I. ¹, Rybnikov V.Yu. ¹

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¹ A.M.Nikiforov Russian Center of Emergency and Radiation Medicine, EMERCOM of Russia, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation

UDC 614.84 (100)

Pp. 18-22

Summary. Investigation purpose – to analyze and summarize data about medical-sanitary consequences of major emergency situations (ES) in the world for last 10 years (2012–2021).

Materials and methods of the investigation. An object of investigation – data base about major ES in the world (The Emergency Events Database, EM-DAT: OFDA/CRED) [https://public.emdat.be/]. Average annual data is presented by median, upper and lower quartiles (Me [q25; q75]). Risks of injury, illness or death because of ES were calculated for 1 million people (10–6). Analysis of dynamic of changing medical-sanitary indicators of consequences of major ES in the world were provided by analysis of dynamic series with calculating of 2nd stage polynomial trend and determination coefficient.

Investigation results and their analysis. From 2012 till 2021 in EM-DAT data base 5533 major ES were presented, including 877 natural disasters, 1814 technogenic disasters. With low determination coefficients polynomial trends show, as rule, a tendency of ES number reduction, decreasing of risks of injury, illness and appearance of ES with medical-sanitary consequences.

Key words: EM-DAT data base, major emergency situations, medical-sanitary consequences, risks

Conflict of interest. The authors declare no conflict of interest

For citation: Evdokimov V.I., Rybnikov V.Yu. Medical-Sanitary Consequences of Emergency Situations in the World, 2012–2021. Meditsina Katastrof = Disaster Medicine. 2023;1:18-22 (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.33266/2070-1004-2023-1-18-22

 

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The material was received 07.12.22; the article after peer review procedure 24.01.23; the Editorial Board accepted the article for publication 23.03.23