Original article

Risk-Based Causal Model of Risk Factors for Infection among Medical Personnel Involved in the Care Of Patients with the New COVID-19 Coronavirus Infection

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Annenkova E.A.¹, Tikhonova O.A.¹, Biryukov A.P.¹, Baranov L.I.¹, Dibirgadzhiev I.G.¹, Sheyanov M.V.¹, Kasymova O.A.¹ Parinov O.V.1

1 State Research Center – Burnasyan Federal Medical Biophysical Center of Federal Medical Biological Agency, Moscow, Russian Federation

UDC 614.446.3:614.894.3

Pp. 65-68

Abstract. The aim of the study is to develop and apply a mathematical model for assessing the risks of contamination of medical personnel involved in providing medical care to patients with COVID-19 in a “red zone” environment.

Materials and methods. Based on the analysis of informative signs and information on working conditions in the infectious disease department of the A.I. Burnazyan Federal Medical Biophysical Center of the Federal Medical and Biological Agency of Russia, a decision-making support system was developed to provide an objective assessment of the risks of infection for medical personnel when providing medical care in the “red zone”.

Results of the study and their analysis. The influence of various risk factors for infection of medical personnel involved in the provision of medical care to patients with new coronavirus infection COVID-19 was analyzed; the most significant risk factors were identified.

Keywords: dose-effect, mathematical model of infection risk assessment, medical personnel, new coronavirus infection COVID-19, patients, red zone

For citation: Annenkova E.A., Tikhonova O.A., Biryukov A.P., Baranov L.I., Dibirgadzhiev I.G., Sheyanov M.V., Kasymova O.A., Parinov O.V.

Risk-Based Causal Model of Risk Factors for Infection among Medical Personnel Involved in the Care Of Patients with the New COVID-19 Coronavirus Infection. Meditsina katastrof = Disaster Medicine. 2021;3:65-68 (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.33266/2070-1004-2021-3-65-68



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The material was received 26.03.21; the article after peer review procedure 12.07.21; the Editorial Board accepted the article for publication 10.09.21